{"id":906,"date":"2024-02-03T15:15:36","date_gmt":"2024-02-03T15:15:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/?p=906"},"modified":"2025-02-03T15:15:49","modified_gmt":"2025-02-03T15:15:49","slug":"mali-tahlil-ve-istihbarat-haber-bulteni-20-8-2009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/2024\/02\/03\/mali-tahlil-ve-istihbarat-haber-bulteni-20-8-2009\/","title":{"rendered":"Mali tahlil ve \u0130stihbarat Haber B\u00fclteni 20\/8\/2009"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

RAPOR-ULUSLARARASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z P\u0130YASALARI(ULUKARTAL F\u0130NANS)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

 Ulukartal Finans (www.ulukartalfinans.com) Taraf\u0131ndan Haz\u0131rlanan <\/pre>\n\n\n\n
Uluslararas\u0131 D\u00f6viz Piyasalar\u0131 Raporu:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 “\u0130svi\u00e7re h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ABD y\u00f6netimi ile vard\u0131klar\u0131 mutabakat kapsam\u0131nda \u00fclkenin dev bankalar\u0131ndan UBS’te bulunan 4 bin 450 adet hesab\u0131n sahipleri hakk\u0131ndaki bilgileri ABD’li yetkililere verece\u011fini belirtti. ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti de UBS d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u0130svi\u00e7re bankalar\u0131nda bulunan ve ABD’deki vergilerden ka\u00e7mak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcphelenilen hesaplar hakk\u0131ndaki ek taleplerin “incelenmesi ve i\u015fleme konulmas\u0131” y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u0130svi\u00e7reli yetkililerle mutabakata var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130svi\u00e7re Maliye Bakan\u0131 UBS’in ABD’li yetkililere ilk bilgileri Eyl\u00fcl ortas\u0131nda sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. ABD H\u00fck\u00fcmeti vergi ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131 iddias\u0131yla 52 bin UBS m\u00fc\u015fterisinin bilgisini istemi\u015fti. Eski Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alan Greenspan’in “ABD son iki \u00e7eyrekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek” a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda bir yorum da \u00fcnl\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Warren Buffett’tan geldi. Warren Buffett, ABD ekonomisinin acil servisten \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve kademeli bir toparlanma s\u00fcrecine girdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. ABD’nin kamu borcunun mantar gibi b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydeden Buffett, borcun bu y\u0131l her ay y\u00fczde 1 artarak, 2009 sonunda ekonominin y\u00fczde 56’s\u0131na denk gelece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD ekonomisini ayakta tutmak i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 gereken her \u015feyin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Buffett, toparlanma sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Kongre’nin bor\u00e7\/milli gelir oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesini \u00f6nlemesi gerekti\u011fini kaydetti. Almanya’da \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemenin de etkisiyle Temmuz ay\u0131nda, son 60 y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti. \u00dcretici fiyatlar\u0131 Temmuz 2008’e g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.8 ile Federal Almanya’n\u0131n \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 1949’da kurulmas\u0131ndan beri y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda en b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. Fiyatlar ayl\u0131k bazda ise y\u00fczde 1.5 geriledi. Reuters anketine g\u00f6re Temmuz \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ayl\u0131k bazda 0.2, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise y\u00fczde 6.5 d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    \u0130\u00c7 G\u00dcNDEM<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n gecelik bor\u00e7lanma faizini yar\u0131m puan indirerek y\u00fczde 7.75’e \u00e7ekmesinin ard\u0131ndan bono faizi tarihin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyine geriledi, borsa 1.5 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. K\u00fcresel piyasalardaki sat\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen \u0130MKB Ulusal 100 Endeksi, Merkez’in faiz indirimine devam edece\u011finin sinyalini vermesiyle bu y\u0131l ilk kez 45 binin \u00fczerinde kapand\u0131. Son 2 g\u00fcnde kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalan \u0130MKB, faiz indirimi beklentilerinin bankalar\u0131 olumlu etkilemesiyle k\u00fcresel piyasalardan ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve ilk seansta y\u00fczde 0.86 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn spot kapan\u0131\u015fta y\u00fczde 9.85 ve val\u00f6rl\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015fta y\u00fczde 9.93 olan 11 May\u0131s 2011 itfal\u0131 g\u00f6sterge k\u0131ymetin ortalama bile\u015fik faizi y\u00fczde 9.73 ile yeni dip seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00f6sterge tahvilde i\u015flem baz\u0131nda bile\u015fik faiz ge\u00e7en hafta Cuma ve bu hafta Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 9.78 seviyesine kadar gerileyerek tarihi dip seviyesini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Faizde yar\u0131m puanl\u0131k indirime giden Merkez Bankas\u0131’dan gelen mesajlar indirimin Eyl\u00fcl’de de s\u00fcrece\u011fi<\/p>\n\n\n\n
beklentisini do\u011furdu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    EUR\/USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 D\u00fcn\u00a0g\u00fcne 1.4130 seviyelerinden ba\u015flayan paritede al\u0131\u015f hareketleri ya\u015fand\u0131. G\u00fcn boyunca 1.4083-1.4265 band\u0131nda hareket eden kotasyonda Sabah saatlerinde gelen sat\u0131\u015flarla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1.4083 seviyeleri test edildi. \u00d6\u011fleden sonra yo\u011fun al\u0131\u015f hareketlerinin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 yukar\u0131da en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 1.4265 seviyelerine h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine sebep oldu. G\u00fcnsonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 gelen al\u0131\u015flarla 1.4232 seviyelerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren parite \u00e7iftinde bug\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. EUR\/USD paritesi i\u00e7in belirledi\u011fimiz destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Destek: 1,4207 – 1,4182 – 1,4153<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diren\u00e7:   1,4264 – 1,4307 – 1,4327<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    USD\/JPY<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 D\u00fcn g\u00fcne 94.73 seviyelerinden ba\u015flayan paritede g\u00fcn boyu sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri ya\u015fand\u0131. G\u00fcn\u00fcn geneline bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda parite \u00e7iftinin 93.67-94.96 band\u0131nda hareket etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gelen sat\u0131\u015flarla \u00f6nce 94.13 seviyelerine gerileme ya\u015fan\u0131rken \u00f6\u011fleden sonra sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam etmesiyle g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 93.67 seviyeleri test edildi. Kapan\u0131\u015fa do\u011fru ya\u015fanan al\u0131\u015flarla g\u00fcn sonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 94.08 seviyelerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren kotasyonda bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in \u00f6nce al\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri ya\u015fanabilir. USD\/JPY paritesi i\u00e7in belirledi\u011fimiz destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Destek:   94,21 – 94,03 – 93,74<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diren\u00e7:    94,43 – 94,82 – 95,31<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    GBP\/USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 D\u00fcn g\u00fcne 1,6557 seviyesinden ba\u015flayan GBP\/USD paritesinde g\u00fcn boyunca \u00f6nce sat\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda al\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. G\u00fcn\u00fcn geneline bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 1.6374-1.6593 band\u0131nda harketler ya\u015fand\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ilk bir saat i\u00e7erisinde yukar\u0131da g\u00fcn\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek seviyesini test eden kotasyonda sonras\u0131nda gelen sat\u0131\u015flarla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket ba\u015flad\u0131. Ya\u015fanan bu sat\u0131\u015flarla sabah saatlerinde g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1.6374 seviyelerine kadar gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6\u011fleden sonra piyasa genelinde dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kaybatmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131 kotasyonda da al\u0131\u015flar\u0131n tekrarlanmas\u0131na sebep oldu ve 1.6568 seviyelerine do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. G\u00fcnsonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 1.6535 seviyelerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren kotasyonda bug\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. GBP\/USD paritesi i\u00e7in belirledi\u011fimiz destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Destek: 1,6515 – 1,6426 – 1,6326<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diren\u00e7:   1,6600 – 1,6663 – 1,6775<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    USD\/TRY<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00fcn g\u00fcne 1.4932 seviyesinden ba\u015flayan paritede \u00f6nce al\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. G\u00fcn boyunca 1.4928-1.5077 band\u0131nda hareket eden kotasyonda sabah saatlerinde ba\u015flayan al\u0131\u015flarla ilk olarak 1.5038 seviyeleri test edildi. \u00d6\u011fleden sonra ilk saatlerde al\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam etmesi yukar\u0131da g\u00fcn\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan 1.5077 seviyeleri test edildi. Bu hareketin ard\u0131ndan dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131 kotasyonda da ya\u015fand\u0131 ve sat\u0131\u015flarla 1.4935 seviyelerine gerileme ya\u015fand\u0131. G\u00fcn sonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 1.4968 seviyelerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren kotasyonda bug\u00fcn \u00f6nce al\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f hareketleri ya\u015fanabilir. USD\/TRY paritesi i\u00e7in belirlenen destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Destek:   1,4912 – 1,4891 – 1,4821<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diren\u00e7:    1,4977 – 1,5012 – 1,5070<\/p>\n\n\n\n
  PETROL<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00a0D\u00fcn g\u00fcne 71.85 seviyelerinden ba\u015flayan petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda \u00f6nce sat\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131rken sonras\u0131nda sert al\u0131\u015f hareketleri ya\u015fand\u0131. G\u00fcn boyunca 69.75-74.25 band\u0131nda hareketler ya\u015fanan petrolde sabah saatlerinde ya\u015fanan sat\u0131\u015flarla 70.18 seviyelerine gerileme ya\u015fan\u0131rken sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u00f6\u011fleden sonra ilk saatlerde de devam etmesi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 69.75 seviyelerinin test edilmesine sebep oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sonras\u0131nda gelen al\u0131\u015f hareketleri sert ya\u015fand\u0131 yukar\u0131da 74.25 seviyeleri test edildi. G\u00fcn sonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 73.49 seviyelerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bug\u00fcn al\u0131\u015f hareketlerinin devam\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in belirlenen destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Destek:   73.39 – 73,07 – 72.44<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diren\u00e7:    74.25 – 74.65 – 75.30″<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
RAPOR-ULUSLARARASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z P\u0130YASALARI(ULUKARTAL F\u0130NANS)  Ulukartal Finans (www.ulukartalfinans.com) Taraf\u0131ndan Haz\u0131rlanan Uluslararas\u0131 D\u00f6viz Piyasalar\u0131 Raporu: \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 “\u0130svi\u00e7re h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ABD y\u00f6netimi ile vard\u0131klar\u0131 mutabakat kapsam\u0131nda \u00fclkenin dev bankalar\u0131ndan UBS’te bulunan 4 bin 450 adet hesab\u0131n sahipleri hakk\u0131ndaki bilgileri ABD’li yetkililere verece\u011fini belirtti. ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti de UBS d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u0130svi\u00e7re bankalar\u0131nda bulunan ve ABD’deki vergilerden ka\u00e7mak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcphelenilen hesaplar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":904,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-906","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-isgel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/906","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=906"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/906\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":907,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/906\/revisions\/907"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/904"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=906"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=906"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tsiad.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=906"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}